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Red91
609117.6
368834.6
542427.6
Blue74
521311.2
171135.0
519326.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68720204060801001201401609174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points0
91Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.8
24.225.0
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
blue by 0.5
1711
#11
35.00.4
22.422.8
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
Second
5424
#17
27.61.3
24.425.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
red by 0.9
5193
#20
26.70.7
24.525.2
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
Third
6091
#29
17.60.8
12.413.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 6.4
5213
#40
11.20.7
15.616.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed