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Red70
759813.7
377030.9
224616.8
Blue51
432724.2
508632.3
861121.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001207051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
70Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.0
22.924.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
blue by 1.4
32.31.1
32.731.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
Second
2246
#23
16.81.2
16.918.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 7.3
4327
#28
24.21.1
21.420.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
Third
7598
#33
13.72.0
12.014.0
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 7.3
8611
#24
21.01.8
13.411.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed