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Red139
607729.6
524719.5
376754.1
Blue73
97368.3
353724.9
779418.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11055020408010012014016013973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+48Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points15
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
92Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
139Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.12.1
46.148.2
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 29.2
3537
#31
24.90.0
20.220.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Second
6077
#16
29.63.5
23.827.2
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 10.9
7794
#39
18.70.0
18.118.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
5247
#26
19.52.1
19.721.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 11.2
9736
#35
8.30.0
13.913.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed