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Red94
432724.2
376754.1
1060522.2
Blue101
778229.0
887336.2
954120.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10580406012014094101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
61Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
94Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.3
48.248.5
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 17.8
36.21.7
26.728.4
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
4327
#28
24.20.3
19.319.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 4.9
7782
#13
29.01.7
26.328.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
22.20.5
21.622.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End0.9
red by 1.7
9541
#22
20.51.7
22.324.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned