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Red85
508632.3
368834.6
224616.8
Blue75
71557.3
779418.7
553438.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87612040801001201408575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
85Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.6
27.027.5
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
blue by 4.0
38.61.2
34.435.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
Second
32.30.6
32.533.1
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
red by 13.6
7794
#39
18.71.2
18.119.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
2246
#23
16.80.6
16.717.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
red by 9.5
7155
#34
7.31.2
5.26.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed