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Red71
917628.3
521311.2
759813.7
Blue106
511033.7
353724.9
524719.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658720408010012071106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+37
Endgame+25
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
49Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points10
71Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#25
28.30.9
24.223.3
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End4.7
blue by 5.4
33.70.3
27.627.4
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
7598
#33
13.70.9
14.313.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 11.2
3537
#31
24.90.3
22.121.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Third
5213
#40
11.20.9
16.515.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 8.3
5247
#26
19.50.3
20.720.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed