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Red61
861121.0
556017.0
779040.0
Blue69
607729.6
78556.9
361826.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001206169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
31Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
61Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
32.132.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.5
End6.5
red by 10.4
6077
#16
29.62.0
22.524.4
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
8611
#24
21.00.1
14.013.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.7
blue by 5.4
26.51.2
17.919.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Third
5560
#21
17.00.1
16.116.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9
red by 10.1
7855
#36
6.91.2
5.06.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned