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Red72
439841.6
97368.3
171135.0
Blue66
608730.6
780810.4
967325.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7960020401001207266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
47Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
72Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.61.0
28.129.0
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
red by 11.0
6087
#14
30.60.8
26.527.3
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Second
1711
#11
35.00.6
23.824.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
red by 9.4
9673
#12
25.60.8
20.020.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1
Third
9736
#35
8.31.0
11.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 2.0
7808
#37
10.41.3
7.58.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned