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Red58
519326.7
719530.6
759813.7
Blue27
97368.3
521311.2
556017.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7047204060801001205827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
45Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
58Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7195
#10
30.60.1
23.022.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
red by 13.5
5560
#21
17.01.3
16.014.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Second
5193
#20
26.70.2
23.523.3
Auto3.0
Teleop22.6
End1.1
red by 15.5
5213
#40
11.22.2
15.613.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Third
7598
#33
13.70.2
13.413.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 5.4
9736
#35
8.32.2
12.510.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed