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Red109
432724.2
967325.6
716026.9
Blue131
780810.4
511033.7
376754.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731034060120140160109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points63
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
80Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
109Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#32
26.92.5
27.229.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
blue by 27.2
54.12.0
47.749.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
Second
9673
#12
25.61.6
20.121.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1
blue by 8.1
33.72.0
29.531.5
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Third
4327
#28
24.21.6
20.321.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
red by 13.8
7808
#37
10.43.1
8.611.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned