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Red31
521311.2
779418.7
482719.0
Blue45
377030.9
954120.5
508632.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710201503145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
16Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
31Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4827
#30
19.01.2
18.217.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
blue by 13.3
32.33.0
33.530.5
Auto6.1
Teleop18.8
End7.4
Second
7794
#39
18.71.2
18.016.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.5
blue by 12.2
30.94.7
33.829.1
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
Third
5213
#40
11.21.9
13.411.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 9.3
9541
#22
20.53.0
22.919.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed