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Red86
1060522.2
609117.6
511033.7
Blue76
542427.6
524719.5
861121.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747240506080901001108676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
58Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
86Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
31.531.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 6.1
5424
#17
27.60.7
28.227.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Second
22.20.4
21.121.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End0.9
red by 1.1
8611
#24
21.00.7
17.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.7
Third
6091
#29
17.60.3
12.813.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 1.9
5247
#26
19.50.5
19.719.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed