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Red95
376754.1
71557.3
361826.5
Blue48
377030.9
521311.2
498320.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916502040801001201409548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+35Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
52Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
12Foul points0
95Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.2
49.749.9
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 23.2
30.91.2
29.127.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
Second
26.50.2
22.923.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 6.3
4983
#15
20.10.8
20.119.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Third
7155
#34
7.30.2
6.97.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 3.9
5213
#40
11.21.2
11.510.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned