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Red62
78556.9
353724.9
780810.4
Blue145
171135.0
967325.6
719530.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53102020408012014016062145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+55
Endgame+77
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +41
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
46Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points6
62Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#31
24.90.0
22.922.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 10.2
1711
#11
35.03.0
28.231.2
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
Second
7808
#37
10.40.0
11.811.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 20.2
7195
#10
30.63.0
25.228.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
Third
7855
#36
6.90.0
6.36.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
blue by 18.7
9673
#12
25.63.0
21.724.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned