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Red50
556017.0
759813.7
432724.2
Blue47
550412.0
607729.6
716026.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5484020401001201401605047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
35Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
50Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#28
24.20.0
21.921.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 5.4
6077
#16
29.62.1
27.125.0
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
5560
#21
17.00.0
14.014.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End0.9
blue by 9.8
7160
#32
26.92.1
29.727.6
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Third
7598
#33
13.70.0
12.412.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
red by 1.7
5504
#38
12.02.1
12.09.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned