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Red59
521311.2
887336.2
977125.2
Blue24
498320.1
524719.5
780810.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059304050705924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+33Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
9Coral scored#2
33Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
45Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
59Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.2
23.223.0
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 16.1
4983
#15
20.12.1
17.014.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
9771
#18
25.20.2
13.613.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 5.7
5247
#26
19.52.1
20.718.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Third
5213
#40
11.20.3
18.618.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 0.9
7808
#37
10.43.5
17.814.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed