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Red74
97368.3
377030.9
607729.6
Blue49
609117.6
553438.6
954120.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6676020401001201401607449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
74Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
25.925.4
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
blue by 7.7
38.62.2
34.732.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
Second
6077
#16
29.60.5
22.622.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 9.1
9541
#22
20.52.2
20.017.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
Third
9736
#35
8.30.5
13.212.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 9.3
6091
#29
17.62.4
15.012.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed