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Red56
716026.9
511033.7
97368.3
Blue64
224616.8
432724.2
608730.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828402040601001201401605664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
56Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
31.830.9
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 3.1
6087
#14
30.60.6
32.231.7
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Second
7160
#32
26.91.2
27.626.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 2.7
4327
#28
24.20.6
21.921.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
Third
9736
#35
8.31.1
10.19.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 8.5
2246
#23
16.80.6
18.718.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed