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Red129
550412.0
887336.2
376754.1
Blue73
542427.6
553438.6
521311.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10583406012014016012973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+32Teleop
+44Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
82Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
12Foul points0
129Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.11.7
50.352.0
Auto11.1
Teleop37.5
End5.4
red by 15.5
38.60.2
36.336.1
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
Second
36.21.7
30.932.6
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 8.7
5424
#17
27.60.3
28.227.9
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Third
5504
#38
12.02.0
10.612.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End3.9
red by 0.8
5213
#40
11.20.3
11.711.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned