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Red80
361826.5
778229.0
482719.0
Blue17
759813.7
780810.4
71557.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8025040601001201408017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+69Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
12Coral scored#1
43Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
57Total teleop2
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#0
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
80Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#13
29.00.7
28.629.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.4
End1.2
red by 15.3
7598
#33
13.71.1
10.99.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Second
26.50.7
24.224.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 16.1
7808
#37
10.41.1
12.511.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Third
4827
#30
19.00.7
16.917.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.2
End0.4
red by 11.7
7155
#34
7.30.9
6.75.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed