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Red77
716026.9
521311.2
954120.5
Blue68
542427.6
917628.3
78556.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377020401001207768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
54Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
77Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#32
26.90.2
26.926.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
blue by 1.5
9176
#25
28.30.4
30.430.0
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End4.7
Second
9541
#22
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End1.7
blue by 7.1
5424
#17
27.60.4
27.927.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Third
5213
#40
11.20.2
11.411.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 4.3
7855
#36
6.90.4
7.36.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed