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Red150
377030.9
439841.6
887336.2
Blue94
511033.7
719530.6
607729.6
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102100020030040050015094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+48Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +35
23Coral scored#16
82Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
110Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
150Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
41.63.9
36.840.7
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
red by 7.9
33.70.1
32.132.2
Auto4.6
Teleop23.7
End5.5
Second
36.23.5
32.636.1
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 5.6
7195
#10
30.60.1
32.132.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.0
End4.5
Third
30.93.9
28.031.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
red by 1.3
6077
#16
29.60.1
27.928.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned