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Red92
524719.5
977125.2
967325.6
Blue120
368834.6
432724.2
553438.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721125010015092120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
65Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
92Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9673
#12
25.61.1
24.825.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1
blue by 13.0
38.61.0
36.137.1
Auto5.4
Teleop27.8
End5.3
Second
9771
#18
25.21.1
23.224.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0
blue by 9.4
34.61.0
34.635.6
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
Third
5247
#26
19.51.1
18.419.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End3.5
blue by 4.7
4327
#28
24.21.0
23.224.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed