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Red88
171135.0
887336.2
716026.9
Blue86
967325.6
542427.6
608730.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099360801001201401601808886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
58Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
88Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.2
36.135.9
Auto3.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 5.6
6087
#14
30.60.0
30.930.9
Auto4.8
Teleop23.3
End2.5
Second
1711
#11
35.00.2
34.934.7
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End5.6
red by 7.5
5424
#17
27.60.0
27.527.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.1
Third
7160
#32
26.90.2
26.726.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.3
End2.7
red by 1.2
9673
#12
25.60.0
25.925.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End8.1