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Red111
353724.9
377030.9
368834.6
Blue140
361826.5
439841.6
977125.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610990100120130140150160111140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +19
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
90Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#10
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
111Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.3
35.635.3
Auto4.6
Teleop26.2
End3.8
blue by 7.0
4398
#19
41.60.6
40.741.3
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End1.6
Second
30.90.3
31.931.7
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End5.9
red by 4.4
26.50.6
25.626.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Third
3537
#31
24.90.3
25.925.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 0.4
9771
#18
25.20.6
24.325.0
Auto5.8
Teleop18.5
End1.0