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Red195
86267.6
276773.3
839731.7
Blue159
205460.6
724818.7
567561.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194152100250300195159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+10Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
7Coral scored#12
37Coral points58
37Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +34
23Coral scored#17
82Coral points60
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
126Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#5
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
195Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.30.4
72.973.3
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 12.3
61.00.4
60.661.0
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
862
#2
67.60.4
67.267.6
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 7.0
60.60.4
60.160.6
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Third
8397
#20
31.70.4
31.331.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 13.0
7248
#16
18.70.4
18.218.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2