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Red222
86267.6
276773.3
839731.7
Blue172
205460.6
724818.7
567561.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193151100250222172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#12
42Coral points58
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +25
28Coral scored#22
99Coral points80
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
123Total teleop98
Reef
13L4#12
10L3#6
7L2#9
6L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
12Foul points0
222Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.30.9
72.072.9
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 12.3
61.00.8
59.860.6
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
862
#2
67.60.9
66.367.2
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 7.0
60.60.8
59.360.1
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Third
8397
#20
31.70.9
30.431.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 13.0
7248
#16
18.70.8
17.418.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2