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Red168
205460.6
721025.9
567561.0
Blue165
600264.7
354646.8
611428.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158151100120140180200220168165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
24Processor points30
20Net points20
44Algae points50
97Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points18
168Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.5
59.259.8
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
blue by 3.7
64.70.2
64.564.7
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
60.60.5
58.859.3
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
red by 13.8
46.80.2
46.646.8
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Third
7210
#25
25.90.5
25.425.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 2.6
6114
#24
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9