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Red155
600264.7
354646.8
611428.5
Blue115
7437.6
14138.9
295934.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111150100200155115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
112Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
155Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.4
64.264.5
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
red by 25.8
141
#13
38.90.1
38.838.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
46.80.4
46.246.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 9.1
74
#9
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
6114
#24
28.50.4
27.928.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
blue by 5.5
2959
#19
34.00.1
33.934.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3