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Red185
86267.6
276773.3
839731.7
Blue172
205460.6
721025.9
567561.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189155100200250185172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
44Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +7
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
99Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#10
11L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +13
6Foul points0
185Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.30.2
71.872.0
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 12.3
61.00.7
58.659.2
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
862
#2
67.60.2
66.066.3
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 7.0
60.60.7
58.158.8
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Third
8397
#20
31.70.2
30.130.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
red by 5.8
7210
#25
25.90.7
24.725.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0