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Red141
600264.7
354646.8
611428.5
Blue98
8541.3
612830.3
654843.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501185010020014198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
91Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
141Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.1
64.164.2
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
red by 21.7
6548
#22
43.00.4
43.443.0
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
Second
46.80.1
46.246.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 5.5
85
#14
41.30.4
41.741.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Third
6114
#24
28.50.1
27.927.9
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
blue by 1.8
6128
#18
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0