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Red124
276773.3
924816.3
612830.3
Blue101
525624.2
8541.3
920734.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11292406080100120140160180124101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
78Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
124Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.31.2
63.564.7
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 32.0
85
#14
41.30.8
33.734.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
6128
#18
30.31.2
21.522.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
blue by 4.4
9207
#21
34.60.8
21.422.2
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Third
9248
#27
16.31.2
12.313.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 7.9
5256
#35
24.21.3
25.627.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed