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Red10
547012.1
642810.6
972124.6
Blue103
345828.2
354646.8
7437.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67102020408012014016010103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+83
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +74
0Coral scored#15
0Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop74
Reef
0L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
10Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#26
24.66.0
24.918.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
blue by 22.2
46.80.9
36.237.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Second
5470
#39
12.16.0
21.715.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 25.6
74
#9
37.60.9
28.329.2
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
Third
6428
#34
10.66.0
17.211.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 17.6
28.20.9
24.325.3
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned