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Red162
10729.8
86267.6
205460.6
Blue149
611428.5
600264.7
571249.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413280100120140180200220162149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points63
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
12Processor points24
28Net points20
40Algae points44
108Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
162Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
67.61.2
59.961.1
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
red by 2.8
64.71.5
62.363.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
60.61.2
48.149.3
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
red by 11.4
5712
#11
49.11.5
38.439.9
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Third
107
#30
29.82.0
30.132.1
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
red by 1.3
6114
#24
28.51.5
20.622.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned