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Red142
295934.0
561031.1
654843.0
Blue84
920618.8
524824.8
14138.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217620406010014016018014284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+60Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
115Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
142Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
43.02.5
50.152.6
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
red by 4.1
141
#13
38.90.8
34.234.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
2959
#19
34.02.5
33.536.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
red by 9.2
5248
#36
24.80.8
22.623.4
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
Third
5610
#17
31.12.5
20.923.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 12.3
9206
#29
18.81.3
15.817.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned