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Red111
8541.3
954214.8
963817.0
Blue101
839731.7
525624.2
721025.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7580050100150200111101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
15Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
80Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
12Foul points0
111Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
41.31.5
32.233.7
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 9.6
8397
#20
31.71.7
19.020.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Second
9638
#38
17.01.5
15.016.4
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 8.9
7210
#25
25.91.0
20.721.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Third
9542
#32
14.81.5
11.613.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 9.4
5256
#35
24.21.7
24.025.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned