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Red195
7437.6
276773.3
974222.8
Blue74
345828.2
642810.6
724818.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12555010015020019574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+85Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
21Coral scored#9
76Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
102Total teleop46
Reef
12L4#4
9L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
36Foul points0
195Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.32.5
61.063.5
Auto23.0
Teleop40.2
End10.1
red by 45.1
28.20.2
24.124.3
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Second
74
#9
37.62.8
25.528.3
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
red by 18.9
7248
#16
18.70.2
12.913.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Third
9742
#12
22.84.2
18.522.7
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
red by 12.2
6428
#34
10.60.3
16.917.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned