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Red96
592736.8
954214.8
839731.7
Blue119
90417.9
335745.2
567561.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7312405010015020096119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
18Processor points12
8Net points24
26Algae points36
59Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
18Cage & park24
18Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
96Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#15
36.80.8
30.431.2
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
blue by 24.2
61.00.3
48.548.8
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
Second
8397
#20
31.71.3
20.621.9
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
blue by 13.5
3357
#10
45.20.3
32.933.3
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Third
9542
#32
14.80.8
13.113.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 3.1
904
#28
17.90.6
18.819.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned