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Red129
400333.9
963817.0
354646.8
Blue83
611428.5
10729.8
72039.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097420406010012014016012983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
89Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
129Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.81.3
37.238.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 17.0
107
#30
29.80.4
32.132.5
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.4
Second
4003
#23
33.91.3
38.439.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
red by 5.4
6114
#24
28.50.2
22.122.3
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Third
9638
#38
17.01.3
16.417.7
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 7.3
7203
#37
9.70.2
11.812.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed