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Red90
642810.6
571249.1
721025.9
Blue90
14138.9
954915.5
600264.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771320501001502009090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
62Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
90Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#11
49.1
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
blue by 15.6
64.7
Auto10.1
Teleop44.2
End10.4
Second
7210
#25
25.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 13.0
141
#13
38.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Third
6428
#34
10.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 4.9
9549
#40
15.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned