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Red61
654843.0
90417.9
724818.7
Blue152
974222.8
205460.6
335745.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9712440608014016018020061152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+73
Endgame+73
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#9
6Processor points12
4Net points36
10Algae points48
40Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#7
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
6Foul points24
61Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
43.02.7
52.649.9
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
blue by 17.6
60.60.9
49.350.2
Auto16.1
Teleop38.2
End6.2
Second
7248
#16
18.72.7
11.89.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
blue by 26.5
3357
#10
45.20.9
33.334.2
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Third
904
#28
17.94.4
19.314.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
blue by 4.8
9742
#12
22.81.5
20.622.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned