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Red76
612830.3
592736.8
609415.6
Blue84
345828.2
400333.9
791116.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76902040601001201401607684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
45Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
76Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#15
36.80.2
31.231.0
Auto6.8
Teleop27.1
End2.9
red by 2.9
4003
#23
33.90.2
39.739.5
Auto6.4
Teleop26.4
End1.1
Second
6128
#18
30.30.2
22.722.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
red by 2.0
28.20.2
25.325.1
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Third
6094
#31
15.60.2
14.113.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 0.7
7911
#33
16.30.3
12.412.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed