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Red88
525624.2
567561.0
72039.7
Blue125
86267.6
839731.7
295934.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991395015020088125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
68Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
88Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
48.848.4
Auto18.0
Teleop34.8
End8.2
blue by 6.5
862
#2
67.60.0
61.161.2
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
Second
5256
#35
24.20.6
27.026.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.4
blue by 9.7
2959
#19
34.00.0
36.036.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Third
7203
#37
9.70.4
12.111.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 22.0
8397
#20
31.70.1
21.922.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned