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Red62
7437.6
547012.1
920734.6
Blue83
508435.8
954214.8
561031.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74650501001506283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#14
22Coral points50
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
36Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
62Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
37.60.3
29.228.9
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
red by 1.8
35.81.6
21.723.3
Auto4.9
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
9207
#21
34.60.3
22.221.9
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 3.6
5610
#17
31.11.6
23.425.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Third
5470
#39
12.10.6
15.715.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 2.8
9542
#32
14.81.6
13.915.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned