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Red105
954915.5
724818.7
335745.2
Blue64
963817.0
571249.1
972124.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711012040608012014016010564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#10
68Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
90Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
105Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#10
45.22.0
34.236.2
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
blue by 3.9
5712
#11
49.11.9
39.938.0
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Second
7248
#16
18.72.0
9.211.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.2
blue by 5.9
9721
#26
24.63.2
19.015.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.2
End2.4
Third
9549
#40
15.52.0
13.915.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 1.4
9638
#38
17.01.9
17.715.8
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed