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Red46
974222.8
611428.5
920618.8
Blue79
90417.9
524824.8
612830.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69670204060801001201401604679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#12
11Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
21Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
46Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6114
#24
28.50.9
22.321.4
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
blue by 1.8
6128
#18
30.30.8
22.523.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Second
9742
#12
22.81.5
22.120.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End2.7
blue by 2.0
5248
#36
24.80.8
23.424.3
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
Third
9206
#29
18.81.5
15.213.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
red by 0.8
904
#28
17.91.4
14.916.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed