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Red46
924816.3
609415.6
654843.0
Blue35
547012.1
721025.9
954214.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915502040801001201401604635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
31Total teleop13
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points4
46Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#22
43.02.1
49.947.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.6
End1.0
red by 17.1
7210
#25
25.91.4
21.720.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Second
9248
#27
16.32.1
13.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End3.0
red by 1.5
9542
#32
14.81.4
15.514.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Third
6094
#31
15.62.1
13.911.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 3.6
5470
#39
12.12.4
15.112.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed