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Red69
561031.1
7437.6
954915.5
Blue93
72039.7
86267.6
90417.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73102204060801201401606993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
37Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points8
69Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
37.60.5
28.928.4
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End9.9
blue by 29.9
862
#2
67.60.3
61.260.9
Auto12.6
Teleop44.5
End10.5
Second
5610
#17
31.10.5
25.024.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 13.1
904
#28
17.90.5
16.215.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End3.2
Third
9549
#40
15.50.5
15.915.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 5.9
7203
#37
9.70.3
11.711.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned