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Red73
920734.6
524824.8
791116.3
Blue115
571249.1
335745.2
920618.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59102020408012014016073115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
62Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
73Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9207
#21
34.61.0
22.523.5
Auto4.7
Teleop26.7
End3.3
blue by 14.5
5712
#11
49.11.8
38.039.8
Auto10.2
Teleop34.7
End4.2
Second
5248
#36
24.81.0
24.325.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.0
End0.6
blue by 20.4
3357
#10
45.21.8
36.238.0
Auto7.3
Teleop32.0
End5.9
Third
7911
#33
16.31.6
11.913.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 2.5
9206
#29
18.83.0
13.716.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned