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Red120
8541.3
612830.3
345828.2
Blue81
963817.0
611428.5
642810.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10965020408010012014016012081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
72Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
18Foul points6
120Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
41.30.7
35.436.0
Auto8.1
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 12.8
6114
#24
28.51.0
21.422.4
Auto3.2
Teleop18.3
End6.9
Second
6128
#18
30.30.7
23.323.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
red by 13.3
9638
#38
17.01.0
15.816.7
Auto2.4
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
28.20.7
25.826.4
Auto5.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
red by 17.6
6428
#34
10.61.6
14.516.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned